AEX R&D / EVIDENCE OBSERVATORY
Results with
the caveats attached.
A living record of what has been tested, what the numbers mean, and where the evidence stops. These are preliminary synthetic results—not production claims.
CURRENT CUT / 056
● SYNTHETIC / REVIEW OPENFeasibility signal
CONDITION CHANGE
Temporal and configuration shifts
100%blocked in tested casesADVERSARIAL
Conflicts, injection, weak evidence
90–100%blocked by policyUSEFULNESS
Precision, recall, target retrieval
87%A1 accuracyHUMAN LOOP
Disagreement and override surface
9.5%refined-loop disagreementExperiment ledger
EXP 047
Realistic A1 / A4
87% A1 accuracy; 77% A4; 0% unsafe activation
Synthetic87% A1 accuracy; 77% A4; 0% unsafe activation
EXP 048
Retrieval competition
22% top-1 target retrieval under contamination; 0% unsafe activation
Synthetic22% top-1 target retrieval under contamination; 0% unsafe activation
EXP 049
Temporal validity
88% / 84.67% transition accuracy; 100% condition-change block
Synthetic88% / 84.67% transition accuracy; 100% condition-change block
EXP 050
Adversarial cases
90% blocked (A1); 100% blocked (A4)
Synthetic90% blocked (A1); 100% blocked (A4)
EXP 051
Multi-loop refinement
87% accuracy; 0% unsafe activation; 9.5% disagreement
Synthetic87% accuracy; 0% unsafe activation; 9.5% disagreement
EXP 052
Model-diverse proxies
62% accuracy; 0% unsafe activation; 53.5% disagreement
Synthetic62% accuracy; 0% unsafe activation; 53.5% disagreement
EXP 053
Negative outcome warning
100% precision; 76.25% recall
Synthetic100% precision; 76.25% recall
EXP 055
Typed suppression rethink
0 unsafe reactivation in simulation
Synthetic0 unsafe reactivation in simulation
How to read this
Results are bounded to the declared synthetic corpus, deterministic proxies, and tested policy thresholds. A zero unsafe-activation result is not evidence of universal safety; it means no unsafe activation occurred in this test scope.
Next evidence gate: independent adjudication of blinded packets, followed by a held-out corpus authored without founder labels.
See the publication record →